The CIA's 1986 Warning and the Coup That Killed Thomas Sankara

More than a year before Thomas Sankara was killed, American intelligence analysts had already sketched out how his government might fall. A CIA assessment from 1986, later declassified and released through the agency’s reading room, concluded that the “revolution’s lack of direction” and Sankara’s own increasingly erratic governing style were straining relationships within his inner circle, and warned that this friction “may spur rivalries” among his closest allies. The report went further, naming names: it assessed that Blaise Compaoré, Henri Zongo and Jean-Baptiste Boukary Lingani, the three men who alongside Sankara had led Burkina Faso’s 1983 revolution, each held enough independent military authority that one of them could plausibly move against the government. Secondary summaries of the declassified document differ on its precise wording, and even on whether its bottom-line conclusion pointed toward or away from a successful coup, so the exact phrasing above should be treated as a paraphrase pending direct verification against the primary text. Whatever the report’s precise language, the forecast proved exact in outcome. On October 15, 1987, those same three men moved against the government they had helped build.

The killing itself took place at the headquarters of the National Revolutionary Council in Ouagadougou, where Sankara had gone to chair a meeting. Armed men loyal to Compaoré stormed the building; Sankara and twelve aides and bodyguards were shot dead. Television broadcasts in the following days carried footage of the takeover and Compaoré’s own account of events, in which the new leader described the killing as the unfortunate result of a plot Sankara himself had supposedly been planning against his allies, a claim that has never been independently substantiated. What made the killing especially jarring to Burkinabè observers at the time was how recently the two men had appeared as close collaborators in public: witnesses recalled Sankara and Compaoré dancing together at a public event just five days before the coup, an image that later footage and testimony from people present at the National Revolutionary Council that day made all the more difficult to reconcile with what followed.

Compaoré seized power immediately and ruled Burkina Faso for the next 27 years, reversing much of Sankara’s radical domestic program and restoring ties with the International Monetary Fund and France, the former colonial power. But the alliance that killed Sankara did not survive intact. In September 1989, Compaoré accused his two remaining co-conspirators, Zongo and Lingani, of plotting a coup against him in turn, allegedly planning to seize the Ouagadougou airport and shoot down Compaoré’s plane on his return from a trip abroad. Both men were arrested, tried by a military tribunal, and executed within days, on September 19, 1989, closing out the circle of the men the CIA had identified three years earlier as Burkina Faso’s most likely coup-makers.

Accountability for Sankara’s death took more than three decades to arrive in any legal forum. Compaoré was finally forced from power in 2014 by a popular uprising and fled into exile in neighboring Côte d’Ivoire, where he has lived ever since under the protection of the Ivorian government. A Burkinabè military tribunal opened a trial in absentia in October 2021, hearing testimony from more than 110 witnesses over several months, and in April 2022 convicted Compaoré of complicity in Sankara’s assassination, sentencing him to life imprisonment alongside his former security chief Hyacinthe Kafando and General Gilbert Diendéré. Côte d’Ivoire has not extradited him, and he remains free there, a former head of state formally convicted of murdering the man he once called a comrade.